Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Villanovense		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2	2.88	3.75
	2	2.8	3.75
	2.1	2.95	3.75
	2.06	2.79	4.45
	2.07	2.7	4.45
	2	2.88	4.33
	2.03	2.85	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.95)	2.84 ↓ (3)	4.05 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
45%

Draw
32.3%

Navalcarnero
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

30%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

28.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Villanovense - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Villanovense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Villanovense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.03.24	Numancia - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Villanovense - Illescas	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Atlético Paso - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Villanovense - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Montijo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.03.24	Badajoz - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Navalcarnero - Numancia	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Illescas - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Llerenense - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.23	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	0:2
22.01.23	Villanovense - Navalcarnero	1:0
04.09.22	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	1:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	2:1 ET
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.04.21	Villanovense - Navalcarnero	2:1
04.04.21	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	0:2

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