Match Info
Premier League - Round 16Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday
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Dire Dawa City |
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Ethiopian Medhin |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.25 |
2.7 |
2.25 |
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3.2 |
2.78 |
2.28 |
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3.25 |
2.63 |
2.25 |
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3.23 |
2.82 |
2.29 |
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3.25 |
2.83 |
2.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(2.74) |
2.75 ↓
(2.84) |
2.28 ↓
(2.62) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dire Dawa City
27.8% | Draw
32.7% | Ethiopian Medhin
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dire Dawa City's form might have worsened.Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ethiopian Medhin will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Ethiopian Medhin (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ethiopian Medhin will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ethiopian Medhin (votes: 5 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. Ethiopian Medhin could have a small edge in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.8:2.3).Including home matches between the teams, Dire Dawa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:11. (average 0:3.7).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | -1 | 46 |
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| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 42 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Dire Dawa City - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 07.03.25 | Ethiopian Medhin - Dire Dawa City | 1:0 | | 10.02.25 | Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin | 0:3 | | 17.05.24 | Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin | 0:5 | | 11.01.24 | Ethiopian Medhin - Dire Dawa City | 1:2 | | 16.05.23 | Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin | 0:3 | | 23.11.22 | Ethiopian Medhin - Dire Dawa City | 1:3 |
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