Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Dire Dawa City		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.7	2.25
	3.2	2.78	2.28
	3.25	2.63	2.25
	3.23	2.82	2.29
	3.25	2.83	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.74)	2.75 ↓ (2.84)	2.28 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dire Dawa City
27.8%

Draw
32.7%

Ethiopian Medhin
39.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.2%

32%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

30.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dire Dawa City's form might have worsened.

Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ethiopian Medhin will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ethiopian Medhin (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ethiopian Medhin will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ethiopian Medhin (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ethiopian Medhin could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dire Dawa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:11. (average 0:3.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ethiopian Insurance	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4

Last Results with these Odds

Dire Dawa City - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
17.01.26	Saint George - Dire Dawa City	4:0 ✺
09.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
05.01.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
30.12.25	Dire Dawa City - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:3 ✺
25.12.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTTLW
- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
15.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:1 ✺
31.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Sidama Coffee	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
07.03.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Dire Dawa City	1:0
10.02.25	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:3
17.05.24	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:5
11.01.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Dire Dawa City	1:2
16.05.23	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:3
23.11.22	Ethiopian Medhin - Dire Dawa City	1:3

Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin