The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ethiopian Medhin 35.7%
Draw 32.7%
Welwalo Adigrat 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
30.9%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
29.3%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopian Medhin's form might have worsened.
Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Welwalo Adigrat's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Welwalo Adigrat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ethiopian Medhin - Welwalo Adigrat Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Welwalo Adigrat (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Welwalo Adigrat (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Welwalo Adigrat (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Ethiopian Medhin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Welwalo Adigrat has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Ethiopian Medhin could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
2025/26
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Ethiopian Insurance
38
10
16
12
30:31
-1
46
16
Welwalo Adigrat
38
10
16
12
32:36
-4
46
Last Results with these Odds
Ethiopian Medhin - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.54%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.