Match Info

Stars League - Round 26

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Diyala		Newroz

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.88	2.72
	2.44	2.94	2.77
	2.52	2.95	2.8
	2.6	2.63	2.75
	2.51	2.78	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.62)	2.84 ↑ (2.77)	2.77 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diyala
35.8%

Draw
31.8%

Newroz
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

32.4%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

34%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Diyala - Newroz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Komolafe P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Younes H. 🟥,
67', 1 - 1, Khalid Abd-Alruhman A. ⚽,
82', Salhi C. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).

Recent form of Diyala has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newroz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Newroz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Newroz has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Newroz	8	4	3	1	13:4	9	15
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
31.03.26	Al-Qasim - Diyala	0:4 ✺
27.03.26	Diyala - Najaf	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Arbil - Diyala	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Al-Minaa - Diyala	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Diyala - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTL
- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
31.03.26	Newroz - Naft Maysan	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Newroz - Al-Gharraf	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Newroz - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	Amanat Baghdad - Newroz	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Newroz - Al-Zawraa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
31.01.26	Newroz - Diyala	2:1
20.02.25	Diyala - Newroz	1:4
03.01.25	Newroz - Diyala	2:1

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