Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 8

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: 3Arena (Stockholm)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1


	Djurgården		Sirius

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.9	2.85
	2.2	3.6	2.9
	2.2	3.65	2.92
	2.28	3.91	3.05
	2.19	3.93	2.93	Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.8
	2.18	3.82	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.32)	3.77 ↓ (4.01)	2.91 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Djurgården
42.9%

Draw
24.8%

Sirius
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

23.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

24.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djurgården has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sirius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	12.5%	31.2%

Djurgården - Sirius Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Djurgården will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Sirius will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 42.5% – 77.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Djurgården (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Sirius (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Djurgården (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sirius (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Rinne J. (G) 2. Johansson P. 5. Tenho M. 21. Marques M. 18. Stahl A. (C) 10. Anderson M. 14. Finndell H. 16. Hegland B. 20. Siltanen M. 19. Okkels J. 9. Lien K.	34. Celic D. (G) 20. Ekstrom V. 2. Soumah M. 4. Anker T. 22. Krusnell O. 10. Heier M. 6. Lindberg M. (C) 17. Jonsson N. 24. Svensson V. 11. Bjerkebo I. 9. Ure R.
Substitutes
8. Aslund P. 22. Asoro J. 29. Haarala S. 3. Hien L. 24. Larsson M. 45. Manojlovic F. (G) 17. Saeed A. 13. Stensson D. 4. Une J.	25. Adindu O. 26. Andersson H. 1. Diawara I. (G) 35. Eld E. 27. Magnusson B. 8. Nartey M. 23. Neat F. 21. Nilden C. 15. Sandberg S.
Coaches
Honkavaara J.	Engelmark A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, Anderson M. ⚽, Hegland B. (A),
35', Krusnell O. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Lindberg M. ⚽, Heier M. (A),
43', 1 - 2, Ure R. ⚽, Bjerkebo I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 2, Anker T. (Own goal),
56', Anderson M. ↓, Aslund P. ↑,
57', 2 - 3, Jonsson N. ⚽, Ure R. (A),
58', Jonsson N. 🟨,
62', Finndell H. ↓, Stensson D. ↑,
74', Okkels J. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
75', Stahl A. ↓, Hien L. ↑,
75', Jonsson N. ↓, Nilden C. ↑,
85', Svensson V. 🟨,
86', Marques M. 🟨,
87', Svensson V. ↓, Adindu O. ↑,
89', Ekstrom V. 🟨,
90+5', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Nartey M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Djurgården won 4.

In recent matches, Djurgården has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sirius is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sirius may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Djurgården is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Djurgården: Nilsson M. (Elbow Injury) Zugelj N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sirius: Castegren H. (Suspended) Milleskog N. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Djurgården won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 48:15. (average 2.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Djurgården won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:7. (average 3.8:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sirius	23	17	3	3	53:28	25	54
3	Djurgarden	22	13	2	7	47:21	26	41

Last Results with these Odds

Djurgården - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.75%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Sirius - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.05.26	AIK - Djurgården	2:4 ✺
04.05.26	Djurgården - IFK Göteborg	6:0 ✺
26.04.26	Djurgården - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Elfsborg - Djurgården	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Djurgården - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTLL
- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.05.26	Sirius - Örgryte	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sirius - Kalmar	3:2 ✺
27.04.26	Häcken - Sirius	2:2 ✺
23.04.26	Malmö - Sirius	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Sirius - Västerås SK	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
29.09.25	Djurgården - Sirius	8:2
05.04.25	Sirius - Djurgården	0:1
25.08.24	Sirius - Djurgården	0:1
14.04.24	Djurgården - Sirius	2:0
04.11.23	Djurgården - Sirius	2:4
09.04.23	Sirius - Djurgården	0:0
Club Friendly
11.02.23	Sirius - Djurgården	0:1

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