The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Djurgården 61.9%
Draw 21.5%
Ilves 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.6%
20.1%
12.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.1%
18.5%
13.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Djurgården's form might have worsened.
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.6%
15.2%
27.3%
Djurgården - Ilves Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Djurgården will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). Ilves will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 44.2% – 78.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 18. Stahl A. 5. Tenho M. 3. Danielson M. (C) 27. Kosugi K. 14. Sabovic B. 6. Schuller R. 15. Fallenius O. 16. Gulliksen T. 23. Wikheim G. 11. Hummet D.
1. Virtanen O. (C) 22. Maenpaa A. 16. Miettunen T. 5. Pikkarainen J. 3. Jorginho 14. Popovitch A. 6. Arifi D. 7. Veteli J. 17. Soderback M. 10. Riski Ro. 29. Haarala S.
Substitutes
22. Aslund P. 19. Bergh V. 12. Bergvall T. 40. Croon M. (G) 7. Eriksson M. 20. Nguen T. C. 30. Nilsson M. (G) 26. Priske A. 9. Radetinac H. 17. Therkildsen P. 4. Une-Larsson J.
44. Akpudje J. 15. Ala-Myllymaki L. 31. Bulgakov D. 24. Kante A. 2. Kivikko M. 27. Riissanen J. 12. Seppa V. (G) 32. Vayrynen L. (G)
Coaches
Bergstrand K.
Rantanen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Sabovic B. ⚽, Kosugi K. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Riski Ro. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Tenho M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 3 - 1, Stahl A. ⚽, Danielson M. (A),
56', Gulliksen T. 🟨,
64', Wikheim G. ↓, Priske A. ↑,
68', Popovitch A. ↓, Ala-Myllymaki L. ↑,
68', Soderback M. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
74', Kosugi K. ↓, Bergh V. ↑,
74', Hummet D. ↓, Nguen T. C. ↑,
80', Stahl A. 🟨,
82', Schuller R. ↓, Eriksson M. ↑,
82', Gulliksen T. ↓, Radetinac H. ↑,
85', Eriksson M. 🟨,
85', Jorginho 🟨,
86', Jorginho ↓, Kivikko M. ↑,
90', Riski Ro. ↓, Akpudje J. ↑,
90+2', Akpudje J. 🟨,
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
Recent matches Djurgården is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ilves in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Ilves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Djurgården is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Djurgården won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.