Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 18

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Raatin stadion (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Oulu		Ilves

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.40	2.63	Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.90
	2.30	3.40	2.80	Watch
	2.47	3.46	2.99
	2.3	3.61	2.94	Watch
	2.40	3.40	2.90
	2.40	3.34	2.86	Watch
	2.30	3.30	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.52)	3.41 ↓ (3.57)	2.85 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oulu
39.7%

Draw
27.4%

Ilves
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

27.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Oulu - Ilves Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Oulu (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oulu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 22. Kaukua T. 3. Lietsa A. 66. Pirinen J. 18. Cassama A. 25. Arsalo M. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 6. Paananen J. 11. Ghezali L. 32. Kone A. 27. Kallio E.	12. Krkalic F. (G) 24. Kumpu V. 16. Miettunen T. 5. Vaisanen S. (C) 3. Rale M. 13. Wallius K. 22. Multala O. 14. Popovitch A. 28. Kilo J. 17. Baranov S. 9. Hytonen T.
Substitutes
20. Jatta K. 14. Jokelainen N. 16. Kemppainen O. 21. Mendolin I. 8. Ojala M. 5. Pitkanen M. 99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S.	15. Ala-Myllymaki L. 19. Bamba G. 30. Kanga J. 4. Pettersson O. 10. Riski Ro. 33. Sacko Y. 25. Suvanne S. 45. Tamminen E. 1. Virtanen O. (G)
Coaches
Isokangas M.	Lehtonen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kilo J. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Kone A. ⚽, Karjalainen R. (A),
63', Vaisanen S. ↓, Bamba G. ↑,
63', Rale M. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
69', Baranov S. ↓, Suvanne S. ↑,
74', Kone A. ↓, Jokelainen N. ↑,
80', Popovitch A. ↓, Ala-Myllymaki L. ↑,
85', Karjalainen R. ↓, Ojala M. ↑,
85', Paananen J. ↓, Mendolin I. ↑,
86', Lietsa A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 0.

Oulu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ilves is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Oulu: Makelainen J. (Inactive) Tiihonen O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ilves: Raap Y. (Yellow Cards) Stjopin M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.4:1.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.07.26	IFK Mariehamn - Oulu	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Oulu - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	TPS - Oulu	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Oulu - Lahti	1:1 ✺
23.06.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTL
- FC Ilves
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Ilves - Stjarnan	3:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.07.26	Ilves - Lahti	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Stjarnan - Ilves	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
20.07.26	TPS - Ilves	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Ilves - Differdange 03	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.05.26	Ilves - Oulu	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
21.02.26	Ilves - Oulu	2:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.08.25	Oulu - Ilves	0:4
24.05.25	Ilves - Oulu	0:0
Club Friendly
14.03.25	Ilves - Oulu	3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
01.02.25	Oulu - Ilves	1:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.08.24	Oulu - Ilves	0:1

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