The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves 73.3%
Draw 16.1%
IFK Mariehamn 10.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
72.1%
16.3%
11.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76%
15.5%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Ilves - IFK Mariehamn Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Mariehamn will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - under (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1 - Mariehamn (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Krkalic F. (G) 4. Pettersson O. 24. Kumpu V. 5. Vaisanen S. (C) 13. Wallius K. 6. Raap Y. 14. Popovitch A. 3. Rale M. 30. Kanga J. 9. Hytonen T. 28. Kilo J.
1. Lund K. (G) 4. Richtner L. 2. Nurmi N. (C) 19. Gyamfi F. 3. Soiniemi A. 20. Patut E. 14. Bergvik A. 11. Svedberg J. 22. Monteiro R. 15. Jakobsen T. 18. Stroud A.
Substitutes
15. Ala-Myllymaki L. 19. Bamba G. 17. Baranov S. 16. Miettunen T. 22. Multala O. 10. Riski Ro. 33. Sacko Y. 45. Tamminen E. 1. Virtanen O. (G)
43. Andersson L. 8. Heyden J. 16. Huttunen A. 64. Hyvonen M. 5. Koivisto T. 7. Larsson A. 9. Nunez W. 32. Riikonen M. (G) 23. Widlund V.
Coaches
Speranza C.
Bjorknesjo R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
24', Gyamfi F. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Hytonen T. ⚽, Kanga J. (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Kanga J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wallius K. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
46', Kilo J. ↓, Multala O. ↑,
57', Hytonen T. ↓, Bamba G. ↑,
57', Nurmi N. 🟨,
60', Multala O. 🟨,
61', Jakobsen T. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
61', Bergvik A. ↓, Hyvonen M. ↑,
70', Kanga J. ↓, Tamminen E. ↑,
70', Popovitch A. ↓, Sacko Y. ↑,
77', Monteiro R. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
77', Stroud A. ↓, Huttunen A. ↑,
85', Patut E. 🟨,
90+3', Patut E. ↓, Widlund V. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
Mariehamn is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3.
Recent performances by Ilves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mariehamn has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Mariehamn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ilves is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Ilves: Stjopin M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Mariehamn: Lundberg A.
(Inactive)
Ward K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Mariehamn: Dahlstrom S.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
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Krkalic F. (G) 
Pettersson O. 
Raap Y. 
Kanga J. 
Gyamfi F. 
Monteiro R. 
Jakobsen T. 
Bamba G. 
Heyden J. 
Speranza C. 
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