Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)


	Ilves		Austria Wien

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2	Watch
	3.3	3.6	1.93
	3.4	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.75	2.08
	3.3	3.8	2.01	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.8
	3.33	3.78	2	Watch
	3.4	3.8	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.36)	3.72 ↑ (3.54)	1.97 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
27.7%

Draw
25%

Austria Wien
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26.2%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

25.7%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	14.6%	78%

Ilves - Austria Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: Austria Wien will win (30 of 38 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.99% – 91.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Virtanen O. (C) 22. Maenpaa A. 16. Miettunen T. 5. Pikkarainen J. 3. Jorginho 14. Popovitch A. 6. Arifi D. 7. Veteli J. 19. Jukkola O. 29. Haarala S. 8. Stjopin M.	1. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 26. Ranftl R. 66. Martins M. 3. Lucas Galvao 21. Guenouche H. 19. Potzmann M. 5. Barry A. 30. Fischer M. (C) 36. Fitz D. 9. Huskovic M. 77. Malone M.
Substitutes
44. Akpudje J. 15. Ala-Myllymaki L. 31. Bulgakov D. 2. Kivikko M. 27. Riissanen J. 10. Riski Ro. 12. Seppa V. (G) 17. Soderback M. 26. Sovelius T. 25. Tulehmo A. 9. Ulundu V. 32. Vayrynen L. (G)	70. do Amaral C. R. 17. Gruber A. 99. Kos M. (G) 40. Meisl M. 2. Pazourek L. 18. Perez Vinlof M. 24. Plavotic T. 11. Prelec N. 13. Wedl L. (G) 37. Wels M.
Coaches
Rantanen J.	Helm S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Huskovic M. 🟨,
31', Martins M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Virtanen O. ↓, Seppa V. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Haarala S. ⚽,
54', Stjopin M. ↓, Soderback M. ↑,
62', Huskovic M. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
62', Malone M. ↓, Gruber A. ↑,
63', Jorginho ↓, Ala-Myllymaki L. ↑,
67', Ala-Myllymaki L. 🟨,
68', Martins M. ↓, Meisl M. ↑,
75', Barry A. 🟨,
81', Maenpaa A. ↓, Akpudje J. ↑,
81', Arifi D. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
81', Guenouche H. ↓, Perez Vinlof M. ↑,
85', Haarala S. 🟨,
85', Lucas Galvao 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Riski Ro. ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Lucas Galvao ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Austria have a series of home games.

Austria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.07.24	Ilves - VPS Vaasa	3:2 ✺
15.07.24	Haka - Ilves	4:3 ✺
06.07.24	Ilves - HJK	3:0 ✺
29.06.24	Lahti - Ilves	2:2 ✺
19.06.24	Ilves - SJK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWTT
- Austria Wien
Club Friendly
19.07.24	Austria Wien - Porto	1:3 ✺
13.07.24	Austria Wien - Zlín	1:0 ✺
10.07.24	Austria Wien - Bohemians Dublin	3:7 ✺
03.07.24	Sepsi OSK - Austria Wien	1:3 ✺
29.06.24	Austria Wien - DAC Dunajská Streda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWT

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