Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 15

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Mogilev)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dnyapro Mogilev		Minsk

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.22	3.15	3.72
	2.18	2.9	3.6
	2.60	3.29	2.92
	2.29	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.66)	3.06 ↑ (2.86)	3.18 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnyapro Mogilev
39.9%

Draw
30.6%

Minsk
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

32.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

31.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnyapro Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dnyapro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Minsk will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gushchenko D. (G) 23. Dunaev A. 3. Perovic N. 15. Kasarab M. 17. Potapenko A. 37. Tsepenkov K. 8. Rusak S. (C) 55. Krasnov N. 21. Karpitskiy E. 66. Tereshchuk N. 88. Kirilenko K.	30. Gutor A. (C) 88. Jarjue Kabia A. 3. Sokol A. 66. Campo F. 15. Yatskevich V. 23. Turich A. 6. Abena F. 19. Kuchinskiy K. 8. Migdalenok A. 9. Dieye M. 80. Ksenofontov A.
Substitutes
12. Bylinkin N. 29. Denisyuk A. 89. Harutyunyan V. 1. Ignatiev V. (G) 11. Martynov T. 27. Piletskiy R. 18. Shemruk A. 7. Tkachev T. 26. Yurkevich F. 10. Zabelin K.	2. Dikhtievskiy V. 14. Ernisov E. 22. Makas A. 33. Malitskiy K. 32. Malyutin V. 20. Sheremet P. 37. Sukharenko M. (G) 79. Sviridenko I. 55. Tumanov A. 17. Zubovich E.
Coaches
Suvorov S.	Chelyadinsky A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Perovic N. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Tsepenkov K. ⚽, Kirilenko K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Perovic N. 🟨,
57', Dieye M. ↓, Makas A. ↑,
57', Migdalenok A. ↓, Ernisov E. ↑,
57', Tsepenkov K. ↓, Harutyunyan V. ↑,
63', Kirilenko K. ↓, Denisyuk A. ↑,
64', Karpitskiy E. ↓, Zabelin K. ↑,
69', Abena F. ↓, Zubovich E. ↑,
69', Kuchinskiy K. ↓, Dikhtievskiy V. ↑,
71', Tereshchuk N. ↓, Martynov T. ↑,
71', Krasnov N. ↓, Tkachev T. ↑,
79', Campo F. ↓, Sviridenko I. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Makas A. ⚽, Ernisov E. (A),
90', Ernisov E. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Ksenofontov A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dnyapro won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Minsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dnyapro won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dnyapro won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

FC Minsk: 0.54%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	FC Minsk	23	10	4	9	30:28	2	34
15	Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	20:36	-16	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dnyapro Mogilev
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
04.07.26	Vitebsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - Neman Grodno	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	BATE Borisov - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWLLT
- FC Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
02.07.26	Minsk - Dinamo Minsk	0:3 ✺
27.06.26	Dinamo Brest - Minsk	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Minsk - ML Vitebsk	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	Baranovichi - Minsk	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Minsk - Isloch Minsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
29.09.24	Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:2
10.05.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk	1:1
30.10.22	Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:0
04.07.22	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk	2:4
Club Friendly
17.02.22	Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:1
Belarusian Cup
22.06.21	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk	2:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.08.19	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk	1:0

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