Match Info

Date: 9 March 2022, Wednesday


	Doce Mel		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	6	3.5	1.52
	5.5	3.4	1.55
	6	3.55	1.51
	7.63	3.74	1.47
	5	3.4	1.62
	6.9	3.75	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.17 ↑ (5.31)	3.56 ↑ (3.49)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doce Mel
14.7%

Draw
25.6%

Vitória Salvador
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

25.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

15.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doce Mel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doce Mel than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Doce Mel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-26.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Doce Mel - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 5).

Doce Mel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vitória is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vitória is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Doce Mel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Doce Mel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doce Mel EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
17.02.22	UNIRB - Doce Mel	3:2 ✺
12.02.22	Juazeirense - Doce Mel	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Doce Mel - Vitória da Conquista	2:0 ✺
26.01.22	Bahia - Doce Mel	1:0 ✺
19.01.22	Doce Mel - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWLL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Copa do Brasil
03.03.22	Castanhal - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
26.02.22	Vitória Salvador - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Vitória da Conquista - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
02.02.22	Vitória Salvador - Bahia	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Jacuipense - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.04.21	Vitória Salvador - Doce Mel	0:1
26.07.20	Doce Mel - Vitória Salvador	2:2

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