Match Info

Prva liga - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Športni park Domžale (Domžale)

Referee: Smajc D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Domžale		Nafta

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.8
	2.22	3.3	3.05
	2.27	3.23	3.32
	2.26	3.22	3.2
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.2	3.48	3.06	Watch
	2.22	3.3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.21)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)	3.03 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Domžale
40.8%

Draw
28.6%

Nafta
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.4%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Domžale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domžale than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Domžale - Nafta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Domžale will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Nafta will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Domžale (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Nafta (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Domžale (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nafta (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stubljar L. (G) 66. Kambic L. 5. Lampreht R. 19. Milic N. 4. Vujcic N. 36. Kranjcic G. 23. Krupic E. 55. Lorber M. 7. Sturm D. (C) 29. Buric N. 11. Mlakar L.	31. Mauricio Z. (G) 2. Pirtovsek R. 5. Dumancic L. 98. Dragoner A. 22. Tojcic K. 3. Marinic A. 8. Bozickovic L. 6. Hrka D. 18. Pihler A. 23. Kalnoki-Kis Z. 77. Szalay S.
Substitutes
97. Baruca L. 44. Grajfoner L. 2. Hrvatin R. 8. Jenjic B. 13. Juncaj F. 27. Lazarevic D. 28. Perc N. 86. Prodanovic R. 33. Strajnar M. 80. Tolic T. 25. Vodisek R. (G) 10. Vuckic H.	20. Batricevic I. 10. Brkic D. 17. Csoka D. 24. Dumic P. 26. Georgievski H. 40. Jurovic L. 9. Klausz M. 25. Kljun T. 4. Lesjak Z. 90. Senko Z. (G) 19. Sintic B. 12. Skrbic M. (G)
Coaches
Zlogar A.	Bozsik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Mlakar L. ⚽, Krupic E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bozickovic L. ↓, Brkic D. ↑,
46', Dumancic L. ↓, Lesjak Z. ↑,
49', Krupic E. 🟨,
56', Krupic E. ↓, Perc N. ↑,
57', Kalnoki-Kis Z. 🟨,
67', Pirtovsek R. ↓, Klausz M. ↑,
68', Kranjcic G. ↓, Grajfoner L. ↑,
70', Szalay S. 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Mlakar L. ⚽,
79', Mlakar L. 🟨,
86', Milic N. ↓, Hrvatin R. ↑,
87', Tojcic K. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. SNL and 9 in the zone Prva liga (Relegation)).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Domžale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nafta has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Domžale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Domžale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Domžale
Slovenian PrvaLiga
04.05.25	Koper - Domžale	3:0 ✺
26.04.25	Domžale - Primorje	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Domžale	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Domžale - Radomlje	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Mura - Domžale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLLW
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian PrvaLiga
02.05.25	Nafta - NK Bravo	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Nafta - Koper	1:5 ✺
19.04.25	Primorje - Nafta	2:2 ✺
16.04.25	Nafta - Maribor	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Nafta - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.03.25	Nafta - Domžale	3:2
23.11.24	Domžale - Nafta	2:1
30.08.24	Nafta - Domžale	5:2
17.05.12	Nafta - Domžale	N/A

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