Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 26

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Tre Penne		Folgore

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.6	3.6	4.85
	1.53	4	4.9
	1.54	4.14	5.11	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5
	1.59	3.89	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)	3.82 ↑ (3.74)	5.05 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Penne
58.3%

Draw
23.7%

Folgore
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

24.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

23.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tre Penne's performance.

Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Tre Penne - Folgore Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Berardi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', Loiodice S. 🟥,
84', 1 - 1, Ura R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 4.

Tre Penne has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Folgore is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Tre Penne is a strong favorite.

We predict that Tre Penne will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Folgore	4	4	0	0	10:1	9	12
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
15.03.26	Murata - Tre Penne	0:4 ✺
08.03.26	Domagnano - Tre Penne	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Tre Fiori - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Tre Penne - Cosmos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWT
- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
15.03.26	Folgore - San Giovanni	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Folgore - La Fiorita	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	AC Libertas - Folgore	2:4 ✺
21.02.26	Pennarossa - Folgore	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Folgore - Tre Fiori	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
29.11.25	Folgore - Tre Penne	1:3
16.03.25	Folgore - Tre Penne	1:1
San Marino Coppa Titano
11.12.24	Tre Penne - Folgore	3:2 ET
27.11.24	Folgore - Tre Penne	0:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
16.03.24	Tre Penne - Folgore	2:1
09.12.23	Folgore - Tre Penne	0:2
12.04.23	Folgore - Tre Penne	0:4

Tre Penne - Folgore: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide