Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Don Álvaro		Diocesano

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.4
	2.65	3.1	2.5
	2.63	2.88	2.52
	2.64	2.88	2.53
	2.65	3.1	2.49
	2.65	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.81)	3.03 ↓ (3.08)	2.49 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Álvaro
34.2%

Draw
29.7%

Diocesano
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

29.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.8%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Álvaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Don Álvaro - Diocesano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Don Álvaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Don Álvaro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Álvaro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.10.23	Don Álvaro - Moralo	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Arroyo - Don Álvaro	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Don Álvaro - Olivenza	1:1 ✺
12.10.23	Jerez - Don Álvaro	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Don Álvaro - Montehermoso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTLT
- CD Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
05.11.23	Diocesano - Racing Valverdeño	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Azuaga - Diocesano	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Diocesano - Villafranca	2:3 ✺
15.10.23	Fuente de Cantos - Diocesano	1:3 ✺
12.10.23	Diocesano - Don Benito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
27.02.22	Don Álvaro - Diocesano	1:2
24.10.21	Diocesano - Don Álvaro	4:0

Don Álvaro - Diocesano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide