Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Azuaga		Racing Valverdeño

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.75
	1.52	3.55	5.72
	1.52	3.55	5.72
	1.49	3.72	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)	3.61 ↓ (3.9)	5.85 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuaga
59.7%

Draw
25%

Racing Valverdeño
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

23.1%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

17.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Racing Valverdeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Azuaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Valverdeño than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Azuaga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing Valverdeño is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing Valverdeño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Azuaga is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Azuaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.11.23	Pueblonuevo - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Villafranca - Azuaga	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Azuaga - Fuente de Cantos	3:1 ✺
05.11.23	Don Benito - Azuaga	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Azuaga - Cartagena	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLL
- Racing Valverdeño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.11.23	Racing Valverdeño - Villafranca	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Racing Valverdeño - Don Benito	1:4 ✺
05.11.23	Diocesano - Racing Valverdeño	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Racing Valverdeño - Castuera	0:4 ✺
22.10.23	Moralo - Racing Valverdeño	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.11.20	Racing Valverdeño - Azuaga	1:1

Azuaga - Racing Valverdeño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide