Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Don Álvaro		Villafranca

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2
	3.53	2.99	2.04
	3.53	2.99	2.05
	3.56	3.21	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.43)	3.05 ↓ (3.31)	2.04 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Álvaro
25.8%

Draw
29.7%

Villafranca
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

27.4%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Adelayo B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Don Álvaro has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Villafranca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villafranca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Villafranca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Don Álvaro won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Álvaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.04.24	Fuente de Cantos - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Don Álvaro - Don Benito	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Diocesano - Don Álvaro	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Don Álvaro - Castuera	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Moralo - Don Álvaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.04.24	Azuaga - Villafranca	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Villafranca - Pueblonuevo	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Villafranca - Fuente de Cantos	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Don Benito - Villafranca	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Villafranca - Diocesano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
03.12.23	Villafranca - Don Álvaro	1:1
02.04.23	Don Álvaro - Villafranca	0:2
04.12.22	Villafranca - Don Álvaro	0:0
13.02.22	Don Álvaro - Villafranca	1:0

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