Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Villafranca		Pueblonuevo

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.75	5.3
	1.55	3.82	5.52
	1.55	3.84	5.57
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.5	3.72	6.04
	1.54	3.75	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)	3.73 ↓ (3.98)	5.54 ↓ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villafranca
59.3%

Draw
24.3%

Pueblonuevo
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.7%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

21.9%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villafranca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Villafranca - Pueblonuevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Minon J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 3 - 0, Andrada D. ⚽,
87', 4 - 0, Andrada D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Villafranca have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pueblonuevo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Villafranca is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Villafranca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Villafranca	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3
16	Pueblonuevo	5	0	3	2	5:10	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
25.01.26	Montijo - Villafranca	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Villafranca - Moralo	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Villafranca - Diocesano	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Jerez - Villafranca	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Don Benito - Villafranca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWTL
- CA Pueblonuevo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
25.01.26	Pueblonuevo - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Santa Amalia - Pueblonuevo	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Azuaga - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Pueblonuevo - Gévora	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Calamonte - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
21.09.25	Pueblonuevo - Villafranca	1:3
28.03.24	Villafranca - Pueblonuevo	0:1
12.11.23	Pueblonuevo - Villafranca	1:2
26.02.23	Villafranca - Pueblonuevo	1:1

Villafranca - Pueblonuevo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide