The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Doncaster Rovers 24.3%
Draw 25.4%
Bolton Wanderers 50.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
28.2%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
27.9%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.6%
11.1%
83.3%
Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bolton Wanderers will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lawlor I. (G) 16. Nixon T. 5. Pearson M. 6. McGrath J. 23. Senior J. 4. Bailey O. 8. Broadbent G. 7. Molyneux L. 22. Gotts R. 17. Middleton G. 9. Hanlan B.
27. Miller T. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 3. Forino-Joseph C. 6. Johnston G. (C) 25. Conway M. 4. Simons X. 21. Erhahon E. 11. Gale T. 10. Dalby S. 48. Burstow M. 24. Forss M.
Substitutes
15. Clifton H. 11. Gibson J. 27. Grehan S. 29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 3. Maxwell J. 14. Sharp B. 2. Sterry J.
19. Cozier-Duberry A. 22. Dempsey K. 45. McAtee J. 16. Morley A. 1. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 8. Sheehan J. 5. Taylor R.
Coaches
McCann G.
Schumacher S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Broadbent G. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
36', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Simons X. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Middleton G. ⚽,
55', Simons X. ↓, Sheehan J. ↑,
55', Burstow M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
55', Gale T. ↓, Cozier-Duberry A. ↑,
65', Forss M. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
70', Dempsey K. 🟨,
75', Bailey O. 🟨,
77', Erhahon E. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Dempsey K. ⚽, Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
81', Clifton H. 🟨,
85', Middleton G. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
85', Hanlan B. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 1.
Doncaster has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Bolton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
McAtee J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Bolton: Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
We predict that Bolton will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).