The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bolton Wanderers 67.7%
Draw 20%
Mansfield Town 12.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.1%
24%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
22.7%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.6%
3.7%
3.7%
Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Bolton (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bolton Wanderers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolton (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 18. Toal E. (C) 6. Johnston G. 25. Conway M. 4. Simons X. 8. Sheehan J. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 17. Randall J. 11. Gale T. 10. Dalby S.
1. Roberts L. (G) 23. Oshilaja A. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 6. Cargill B. 4. Hewitt E. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 8. Lewis A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 17. Dickov M. 21. McAdam K. 18. Oates R.
Substitutes
48. Burstow M. 20. Cissoko I. 22. Dempsey K. 3. Forino-Joseph C. 24. Forss M. 27. Miller T. (G) 16. Morley A.
27. Bolton L. 14. Dwyer D. 11. Evans W. 12. Mason O. (G) 3. McLaughlin S. 25. Reed L. 34. Taylor O.
Coaches
Schumacher S.
Clough N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Hewitt E. 🟨,
28', Hewitt E. ↓, Reed L. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Oates R. ⚽, Moriah-Welsh N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Dickov M. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
58', Simons X. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
58', Sheehan J. 🟨,
64', Moriah-Welsh N. 🟨,
66', Dalby S. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
66', Randall J. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
66', Oates R. ↓, Bolton L. ↑,
66', McAdam K. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
75', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
75', Johnston G. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
81', Cissoko I. 🟨,
84', Reed L. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Bolton is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
McAtee J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Knee Injury)
Hendry R.
(Inactive)
Knoyle K.
(Inactive)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Bolton: Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Mansfield: Akins L.
(Inactive)
Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Gardner J.
(Inactive)
McDonnell J.
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).