The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bolton Wanderers 66.3%
Draw 20.1%
Exeter City 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.8%
19.4%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.4%
18.4%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
0%
15.4%
Bolton Wanderers - Exeter City Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bolton Wanderers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 29. Christie C. 18. Toal E. (C) 6. Johnston G. 25. Conway M. 8. Sheehan J. 21. Erhahon E. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 24. Forss M. 20. Cissoko I. 48. Burstow M.
1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 16. Swinkels S. 20. Woodhouse L. 14. Niskanen I. 6. Brierley E. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 2. McMillan J. 19. Cox S. 10. Aitchison J. 27. Magennis J.
Substitutes
10. Dalby S. 22. Dempsey K. 3. Forino-Joseph C. 11. Gale T. 27. Miller T. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 4. Simons X.
23. Bycroft J. (G) 12. Cole R. 8. Francis E. 17. Higgins A. 29. McDonald K. 34. Oakes L. 9. Wareham J.
Coaches
Schumacher S.
Caldwell G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Aitchison J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cox S. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
46', Cissoko I. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
61', Burstow M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
61', Christie C. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
63', Magennis J. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Dalby S. ⚽,
71', Erhahon E. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
73', Niskanen I. 🟨,
74', Aitchison J. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
78', Swinkels S. 🟨,
80', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Gale T. ⚽, Dempsey K. (A),
83', Forss M. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
87', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
87', Brierley E. ↓, Oakes L. ↑,
90', Sweeney P. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Bolton is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Fitzwater J.
(Yellow Cards)
Mendes C.
(Muscle Injury)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Bolton: McAtee J.
(Inactive)
Warren C.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
Watch
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Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 
Christie C. 
Toal E. (C) 
Johnston G. 
Sheehan J. 
Forss M. 
Cissoko I. 
Gale T. 
Miller T. (G) 
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