Match Info

League One - Round 20

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)


	Cardiff City		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.58	4.15	4.95	Watch
	1.63	4.34	4.99
	1.62	4.23	4.74	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.6
	1.66	3.94	4.74	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.77)	4.12 ↑ (3.84)	4.79 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
57.8%

Draw
22.7%

Doncaster Rovers
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

24.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

23.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	5%	5%

Cardiff City - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cardiff (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Trott N. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 2. Fish W. 12. Chambers C. (C) 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 18. Robertson A. 45. Ashford C. 8. Kellyman O. 39. Davies I. 22. Salech Y.	29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 27. Grehan S. 12. O'Riordan C. 6. McGrath J. 3. Maxwell J. 4. Bailey O. (C) 33. Close B. 7. Molyneux L. 18. Crew C. 15. Clifton H. 9. Hanlan B.
Substitutes
27. Colwill J. 48. Lawlor D. 38. Ng P. 47. Robinson C. 14. Turnbull D. 41. Turner M. (G) 16. Willock C.	11. Gibson J. 22. Gotts R. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 17. Middleton G. 5. Pearson M. 14. Sharp B. 2. Sterry J.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	McCann G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Bailey O. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Kellyman O. ⚽, Davies I. (A),
34', 2 - 1, Ashford C. ⚽, Salech Y. (A),
42', 2 - 2, Hanlan B. ⚽, Crew C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Fish W. ↓, Lawlor D. ↑,
46', Kpakio R. ↓, Ng P. ↑,
46', Davies I. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
50', 3 - 2, Salech Y. ⚽, Wintle R. (A),
57', Robertson A. 🟨,
58', O'Riordan C. ↓, Sterry J. ↑,
58', Crew C. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
59', Close B. 🟨,
65', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
72', 3 - 3, Clifton H. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
76', Bailey O. 🟨,
77', Kellyman O. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
79', Hanlan B. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
82', Wintle R. 🟨,
90+1', Close B. ↓, Gotts R. ↑,
90+9', 4 - 3, Bagan J. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 19).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Cardiff is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Colwill R. (Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Osho G. (Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Doncaster: Broadbent G. (Yellow Cards) Olusanya T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Doncaster: Pearson M. (Inactive)

We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League One
09.12.25	Stevenage Borough - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cardiff City - Huddersfield Town	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon	1:5 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Cardiff City - Mansfield Town	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Northampton Town - Cardiff City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW
- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
09.12.25	Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield	5:1 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Doncaster Rovers - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Stevenage Borough - Doncaster Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWT

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