The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chesterfield 55.7%
Draw 25%
Accrington Stanley 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
22.7%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
22%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesterfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 22. Dunkley C. 6. McFadzean K. (C) 19. Gordon L. 4. Naylor T. 13. Fleck J. 7. Mandeville L. 24. Markanday D. 28. Berry-McNally J. 10. Bonis L.
13. Wright O. (G) 17. Matthews D. 5. Rawson F. 14. Ward B. 2. Love D. 4. Grant C. 6. Coyle L. 30. Heath I. 7. Whalley S. (C) 11. Sinclair I. 23. Walton T.
Substitutes
23. Boot R. (G) 27. Darcy R. 25. Dickson W. 44. Donacien J. 11. Duffy D. 3. Lewis A. 30. Tanton D.
16. Bauress J. 20. Brown C. 18. Caton C. 28. Conneely S. 10. Henderson A. 1. Kelly M. (G) 39. Woods J.
Coaches
Cook P.
Doolan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Walton T. ⚽,
23', Fleck J. 🟨,
24', Whalley S. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Walton T. ⚽, Heath I. (A),
33', Matthews D. 🟨,
37', Berry-McNally J. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 2, Naylor T. ⚽, Berry-McNally J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
47', 2 - 2, Bonis L. ⚽, Markanday D. (A),
55', McFadzean K. 🟨,
61', Coyle L. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
62', Mandeville L. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
62', 3 - 2, Berry-McNally J. ⚽,
69', Whalley S. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
69', Sinclair I. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
70', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
76', 3 - 3, Caton C. ⚽,
84', Walton T. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
84', Grant C. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
86', Gordon L. ↓, Tanton D. ↑,
86', Markanday D. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
88', Bauress J. 🟨,
90+1', Love D. 🟨,
90+4', Conneely S. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
Chesterfield is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Accrington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Chesterfield is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Dibley-Dias M.
(Knee Injury)
Elliott G.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Williams T.
(Surgery)
We predict that Chesterfield will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
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Hemming Z. (G) 
Dunkley C. 
Gordon L. 
Bonis L. 
Donacien J. 
Duffy D. 
Tanton D. 
Caton C. 
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