Match Info

League Two - Round 44

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Eco-Power Stadium (Doncaster)

Referee: Young A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Doncaster Rovers		Colchester United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.78	3.6	4.33
	1.8	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.63	4.46
	1.84	3.53	4.19	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.5
	1.84	3.52	4.29	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.74)	3.55 ↓ (3.63)	4.32 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doncaster Rovers
51.8%

Draw
26.5%

Colchester United
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.8%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Doncaster Rovers - Colchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Doncaster (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Doncaster (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Doncaster Rovers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Colchester (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 17. Bailey O. (C) 4. Anderson T. 23. Senior J. 7. Molyneux L. 27. Crew C. 15. Clifton H. 8. Broadbent G. 11. Gibson J. 9. Street R.	1. Macey M. (G) 18. Egbo M. 4. Kelleher F. 6. Flanagan T. (C) 3. Iandolo E. 14. Lisbie K. 15. McDonnell J. 8. Bishop T. 16. Read A. 21. Edwards O. 17. Simpson T.
Substitutes
18. Ennis E. 22. Kelly P. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 3. Maxwell J. 16. Nixon T. 10. Sbarra J. 24. Westbrooke Z.	11. Gordon J. 19. Hunt R. 25. Scully A. 12. Smith T. (G) 9. Tovide S. 22. Tucker J. 30. Vincent-Young K.
Coaches
McCann G.	Cowley D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Clifton H. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Gibson J. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
25', Edwards O. 🟨,
38', McDonnell J. ↓, Tucker J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Senior J. 🟨,
56', Kelleher F. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
56', Simpson T. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
61', Lisbie K. 🟨,
62', Clifton H. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
62', Gibson J. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
68', Senior J. ↓, Maxwell J. ↑,
70', Iandolo E. 🟨,
77', Lisbie K. ↓, Vincent-Young K. ↑,
78', Bishop T. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
80', Edwards O. 🟨,
81', Street R. ↓, Sbarra J. ↑,
82', Crew C. ↓, Westbrooke Z. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Kelly P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 3.

Doncaster is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Colchester is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Doncaster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Doncaster is a favorite.

There will not play in Doncaster: Olowu J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Colchester: Oni M. (Knee Injury) Taylor L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Colchester: Anderson H. (Injury) Payne J. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:12 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:1 (average 1.7:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doncaster Rovers
English League Two
18.04.25	Tranmere Rovers - Doncaster Rovers	0:3 ✺
15.04.25	Salford City - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Doncaster Rovers - Walsall	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTWT
- Colchester United
English League Two
18.04.25	Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Newport County - Colchester United	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Colchester United - Notts County	1:0 ✺
01.04.25	Gillingham - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Colchester United - Grimsby Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
29.12.24	Colchester United - Doncaster Rovers	1:1
23.04.24	Colchester United - Doncaster Rovers	1:4
28.11.23	Doncaster Rovers - Colchester United	3:1
29.04.23	Doncaster Rovers - Colchester United	1:0
19.11.22	Colchester United - Doncaster Rovers	3:0
14.04.17	Colchester United - Doncaster Rovers	1:1
15.10.16	Doncaster Rovers - Colchester United	1:0

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