The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 37.8%
Draw 27.9%
Colchester United 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
26.4%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
26.2%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
25%
62.5%
Newport County - Colchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Colchester will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright J. (G) 22. Norman C. 5. Jenkins L. 4. Cameron K. (C) 16. Jacob M. 24. Dibley-Dias M. 6. Brennan C. 23. Adu Poku M. 10. Biggins H. 9. Gwengwe S. 27. Doidge C.
22. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 44. Kuffour S. 5. Tucker J. (C) 6. Digby P. 3. Iandolo E. 12. Sesay M. 26. Williams J. 7. Anderson H. 10. Payne J. 15. Lubala B. 27. Thorn O.
Substitutes
20. Bamba Y. 19. Garner G. 18. Lewis A. 33. MacDonald S. (G) 21. Nyakuhwa T. 34. Sassi D. 8. Smith M.
11. Chiwome L. 39. Connolly K. 47. Harvey R. 2. Hunt R. 9. Ihionvien B. 31. Roberts O. (G) 24. Terry F.
Coaches
Mullins H.
Cowley D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Doidge C. ↓, Bamba Y. ↑,
40', Williams J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Lubala B. 🟨,
58', Kuffour S. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
66', Lubala B. ↓, Harvey R. ↑,
66', Thorn O. ↓, Ihionvien B. ↑,
72', Adu Poku M. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
72', Gwengwe S. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
76', Ihionvien B. 🟨,
79', 1 - 0, Nyakuhwa T. ⚽, Jacob M. (A),
84', Digby P. ↓, Connolly K. ↑,
85', Biggins H. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 15th and 19th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 0.
Newport has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Colchester has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Colchester could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Newport: Crole J.
(Inactive)
Davies T.
(Inactive)
Etete K.
(Inactive)
Patten K.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Newport: Turner J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Colchester: Bishop T.
(Inactive)
Leake J.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Newport has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:26 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newport against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 13:11 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Colchester: 1.62% Newport: 0.42%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Newport
10
3
4
3
13:12
1
13
19
Colchester
9
2
4
3
10:13
-3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Colchester United - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.43%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Wright J. (G) 
Jenkins L. 
Cameron K. (C) 
Dibley-Dias M. 
Brennan C. 
Lo-Tutala T. (G) 
Williams J. 
Lubala B. 
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