The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 32.1%
Draw 27.4%
Notts County 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
28.4%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
28.1%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Colchester United - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 2. Hunt R. 5. Tucker J. (C) 40. Terry F. 30. Vincent-Young K. 25. Barbrook F. 16. Read A. 9. Tovide S. 10. Payne J. 21. Edwards O. 19. Goodwin W.
31. Belshaw J. (G) 28. Macari L. 3. McDonald R. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 8. Norburn O. 14. Iorpenda T. 10. Jones J. 16. Luker J. 11. Grant C. 29. Jatta A.
Substitutes
27. Akachukwu R. 7. Anderson H. 46. Chamberlain H. (G) 15. Gape D. 44. Kuffour S. 14. Lisbie K. 17. Williams J.
47. Bennetts K. 19. Dennis M. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 26. Hall T. 39. Ndlovu L. 12. Ness L. 20. Robertson S.
Coaches
Cowley D.
Paterson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
45+1', Vincent-Young K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Edwards O. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Tsaroulla N. ⚽, Iorpenda T. (A),
52', Barbrook F. 🟨,
57', Hunt R. ↓, Kuffour S. ↑,
58', Tovide S. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
61', Grant C. 🟨,
66', Barbrook F. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
68', Luker J. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
70', Read A. 🟨,
72', Vincent-Young K. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
75', Robertson S. 🟨,
76', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
82', Norburn O. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Colchester: Araujo H.
(Broken cheekbone)
Mbick M.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Notts County: Jatta A.
(Suspended)
There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Platt M.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Inactive)
Tangen H.
(Inactive)
Tsaroulla N.
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.5:2.3).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Colchester: 1.62%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
19
Colchester
9
2
4
3
10:13
-3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Notts County - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.63%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Macey M. (G) 
Vincent-Young K. 
Macari L. 
Tsaroulla N. 
Jones J. 
Grant C. 
Jatta A. 
Bennetts K. 
Hall T. 
Ndlovu L. 
Paterson M. 
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