Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.05	5.3
	1.71	3.83	3.81
	2.25	2.24	5.46	Watch
	1.5	3.88	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.37)	3.5 ↓ (4.4)	5.07 ↓ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
54.3%

Draw
27.1%

Dorchester Town
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

20.6%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.8%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dover Athletic's form might have worsened.

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorchester Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dover Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorchester Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dover Athletic - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Coker K. ⚽,
81', 2 - 0, Odelusi S. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Dover is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dover won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dover won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
08.11.25	Dover Athletic - Enfield Town	4:1 ✺
04.11.25	Horsham - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	Dover Athletic - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Worthing - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
21.10.25	Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLLT
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Dorchester Town - Chertsey Town	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
21.10.25	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.01.14	Dorchester Town - Dover Athletic	0:4
05.10.13	Dover Athletic - Dorchester Town	1:0
20.04.13	Dover Athletic - Dorchester Town	0:0
15.01.13	Dorchester Town - Dover Athletic	1:0
21.01.12	Dorchester Town - Dover Athletic	N/A

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