Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Metropolitan Police		Truro City

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.73
	3.8	3.75	1.73
	3.86	3.92	1.77
	4.05	3.75	1.73
	4	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.38)	3.75 ↑ (3.58)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitan Police
23.3%

Draw
24.2%

Truro City
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

25.1%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

24.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitan Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-3%)

Metropolitan Police - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Metropolitan Police is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Truro is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Truro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Metropolitan Police have a series of guest games.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitan Police won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
05.11.22	Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police	1:0 ✺
01.11.22	Metropolitan Police - Hartley Wintney	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Merthyr Town - Metropolitan Police	1:2 ✺
25.10.22	Chesham United - Metropolitan Police	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Salisbury - Metropolitan Police	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLW
- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
05.11.22	Truro City - North Leigh	6:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Truro City	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
25.10.22	Salisbury - Truro City	0:3 ✺
22.10.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Truro City	3:4 ✺
12.10.22	Truro City - Swindon Supermarine	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
19.03.22	Metropolitan Police - Truro City	0:0
08.02.22	Truro City - Metropolitan Police	1:0
04.01.20	Truro City - Metropolitan Police	4:0
10.08.19	Metropolitan Police - Truro City	0:2

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