Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Dorchester Town		Metropolitan Police

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.3
	2.55	3.5	2.3
	2.66	3.6	2.36
	2.58	3.62	2.33
	2.6	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.29)	3.52 ↓ (3.58)	2.33 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
35.2%

Draw
25.8%

Metropolitan Police
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.1%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Metropolitan Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Dorchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorchester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
29.10.22	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Merthyr Town - Dorchester Town	1:3 ✺
22.10.22	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
15.10.22	Dorchester Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:3 ✺
11.10.22	Dorchester Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTLL
- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
01.11.22	Metropolitan Police - Hartley Wintney	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Merthyr Town - Metropolitan Police	1:2 ✺
25.10.22	Chesham United - Metropolitan Police	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Salisbury - Metropolitan Police	1:4 ✺
18.10.22	Metropolitan Police - Poole Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.03.22	Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police	0:1
20.11.21	Metropolitan Police - Dorchester Town	2:0
07.12.19	Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police	0:3
22.12.18	Metropolitan Police - Dorchester Town	2:1
11.08.18	Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police	0:1

Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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