Match Info

National League South - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Horsham

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.81	4.58
	1.69	3.84	4.59	Watch
	1.69	3.75	4.5
	1.65	3.6	4.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 (1.69)	3.75 ↓ (3.84)	4.58 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
55%

Draw
24.7%

Horsham
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

25.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Ebbsfleet United - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Ebbsfleet is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Horsham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ebbsfleet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ebbsfleet is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Ebbsfleet: 3.01% Horsham FC: 1.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ebbsfleet	6	3	3	0	7:3	4	12
17	Horsham FC	9	2	5	2	9:10	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Ebbsfleet United - Gillingham	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Ebbsfleet United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
21.07.26	Ebbsfleet United - West Ham United U21	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Dartford - Ebbsfleet United	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Canvey Island - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT
- Horsham FC
English National League South
29.08.26	Horsham - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Braintree Town - Horsham	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Horsham - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Horsham - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Worthing - Horsham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
24.02.26	Horsham - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
25.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Horsham	1:2

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