Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - PROMOTION - FINAL

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Douglas Haig		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.25
	2.05	2.85	3.6
	2.15	2.85	3.75
	2.26	2.63	3.41
	1.91	3.25	3.75
	2.24	2.81	3.58
	2.06	2.9	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (5)	2.87 ↓ (3.5)	3.58 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douglas Haig
42.8%

Draw
31.7%

San Miguel
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

25.9%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

26.5%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Douglas Haig's performance.

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-25.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Douglas Haig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+31.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Douglas Haig - San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Douglas Haig will win (votes: 1 - 20%). San Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Neutral location.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Douglas Haig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Douglas Haig have a series of home games.

Douglas Haig will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.12.23	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:2 penalties ✺
26.11.23	Douglas Haig - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Douglas Haig - Central Norte	5:0 ✺
05.11.23	Douglas Haig - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Douglas Haig - El Linqueño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWTT
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera B
25.11.23	San Miguel - Argentino de Quilmes	2:1 penalties ✺
20.11.23	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	San Miguel - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Deportivo Armenio - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	San Miguel - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTTWL

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