Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Deportivo Armenio		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.6	3.5
	2.25	2.7	3.75	Watch
	2.29	2.65	3.77
	2.29	2.65	3.77
	2.23	2.79	3.64
	2.23	2.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)	2.67 ↓ (2.84)	3.69 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Armenio
40.8%

Draw
34.4%

San Miguel
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

32.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

30.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Deportivo Armenio - San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Armenio won 2.

Deportivo Armenio is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches San Miguel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Armenio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Deportivo Armenio won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Armenio won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Armenio
Argentinian Primera B
28.10.23	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Armenio	0:3 ✺
14.10.23	Deportivo Armenio - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
09.10.23	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Deportivo Armenio - Acassuso	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTTWT
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera B
28.10.23	San Miguel - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1 ✺
16.10.23	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Villa San Carlos - San Miguel	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	San Miguel - Colegiales	1:2 ✺
18.09.23	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
03.09.23	Deportivo Armenio - San Miguel	2:0
29.04.23	San Miguel - Deportivo Armenio	0:0
25.06.22	San Miguel - Deportivo Armenio	0:0
26.02.22	Deportivo Armenio - San Miguel	1:1
30.10.21	San Miguel - Deportivo Armenio	0:1
03.07.21	Deportivo Armenio - San Miguel	1:1
12.12.20	Deportivo Armenio - San Miguel	1:1

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