Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 20 November 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Argentino de Quilmes		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.1	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.37	2.88	2.4
	3.37	2.8	2.4
	3	2.9	2.2
	3.18	2.98	2.32
	2.9	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.71)	2.91 ↑ (2.87)	2.33 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Quilmes
29.1%

Draw
31.5%

San Miguel
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

31.8%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Argentino de Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Miguel will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Miguel: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentino de Quilmes won 0.

Argentino de Quilmes is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Miguel is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Argentino de Quilmes won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Argentino de Quilmes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
11.11.23	Argentino de Quilmes - Los Andes	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Los Andes - Argentino de Quilmes	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Argentino de Quilmes - Acassuso	2:1 penalties ✺
16.10.23	Acassuso - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1 ✺
09.10.23	Argentino de Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWTL
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera B
11.11.23	San Miguel - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Deportivo Armenio - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	San Miguel - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1 ✺
16.10.23	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Villa San Carlos - San Miguel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
18.09.23	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	0:1
13.05.23	San Miguel - Argentino de Quilmes	2:0
27.08.22	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	1:1
02.05.22	San Miguel - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0
21.11.21	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	0:1
18.09.21	San Miguel - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1
08.05.21	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
02.11.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	✺
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.10.26	San Miguel - Deportivo Madryn	✺

Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel