Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	San Miguel		Argentino de Quilmes

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.6
	1.72	3.3	5	Watch
	1.77	3.27	4.8
	1.78	3.27	4.8
	1.65	3.2	4.75
	1.73	3.32	5
	1.71	3.25	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.97)	3.26 ↑ (3.07)	4.82 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel
53.1%

Draw
28%

Argentino de Quilmes
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

30.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

31.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Miguel's performance.

Argentino de Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

San Miguel - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 3.

Recent matches San Miguel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Argentino de Quilmes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Miguel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-11.

Including matches at home between the teams San Miguel won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera B
20.11.23	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	San Miguel - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Deportivo Armenio - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	San Miguel - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1 ✺
16.10.23	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWLT
- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
20.11.23	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	Argentino de Quilmes - Los Andes	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Los Andes - Argentino de Quilmes	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Argentino de Quilmes - Acassuso	2:1 penalties ✺
16.10.23	Acassuso - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
20.11.23	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	0:0
18.09.23	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	0:1
13.05.23	San Miguel - Argentino de Quilmes	2:0
27.08.22	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	1:1
02.05.22	San Miguel - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0
21.11.21	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	0:1
18.09.21	San Miguel - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1

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