Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 32

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	Douglas Haig		Unión de Sunchales

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.75	11	Watch
	1.32	4.61	10.43
	1.24	4.9	11	Watch
	1.25	4.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.41)	4.77 ↑ (3.92)	10.61 ↑ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douglas Haig
72.2%

Draw
19.2%

Unión de Sunchales
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

23.2%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22.3%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Douglas Haig's performance.

Unión de Sunchales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Douglas Haig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión de Sunchales than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Douglas Haig won 4.

Douglas Haig is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unión de Sunchales is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Douglas Haig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Douglas Haig is absolute favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Douglas Haig won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Douglas Haig won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.09.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Sportivo Las Parejas - Douglas Haig	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTWWT
- Unión de Sunchales
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.09.23	Unión de Sunchales - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
13.09.23	Independiente Chivilcoy - Unión de Sunchales	2:0 ✺
08.09.23	Unión de Sunchales - Sportivo Las Parejas	5:1 ✺
03.09.23	El Linqueño - Unión de Sunchales	2:0 ✺
27.08.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Unión de Sunchales	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.07.23	Unión de Sunchales - Douglas Haig	0:1
04.06.23	Douglas Haig - Unión de Sunchales	2:1
09.04.23	Unión de Sunchales - Douglas Haig	2:1
16.07.22	Douglas Haig - Unión de Sunchales	3:1
03.04.22	Unión de Sunchales - Douglas Haig	1:2
10.10.21	Douglas Haig - Unión de Sunchales	3:0
11.07.21	Unión de Sunchales - Douglas Haig	0:0

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