Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri (Pristina)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kosovo	RTK 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Drita Gjilan		Kauno Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	3.20	Watch
	2.20	3.20	3.40
	2.45	3.20	2.80	Watch
	2.29	3.12	3.47
	4.62	3.46	1.79	Watch
	2.18	3.10	3.45
	2.25	3.24	3.34	Watch
	2.27	3.15	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.25)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	3.09 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drita Gjilan
38.1%

Draw
30.4%

Kauno Žalgiris
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

28.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

27.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drita Gjilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	35%	15%

Drita Gjilan - Kauno Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Drita will win (votes: 20 - 52.6%). Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 6 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Drita: 36.7% – 68.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Drita (votes: 1 - 20%). Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.59) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Kauno Žalgiris (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.04) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Drita (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maloku F. (G) 2. Krasniqi Be. (C) 25. Bytyci A. 32. Pellumbi J. 26. Ovouka R. 8. Limaj V. 14. Dabiqaj A. 19. Krasniqi Bl. 10. Balaj L. 9. Manaj A. 7. Jashari I.	55. Svedkauskas T. (C) 45. Moutachy J. 3. Tolordava A. 77. Lekiatas R. 33. Konatar M. 32. Baldassarra F. 15. Leo Ribeiro 7. Benchaib A. 14. Slivka V. 70. Ourega F. 19. Renan Oliveira
Substitutes
77. Abazaj K. 99. Arthur M. 24. Baeten W. 22. Behluli L. (G) 4. Broja R. 17. Grezda O. 74. Isufi E. (G) 28. Mjaki A. 93. Nguena K. 55. Salihu H. 3. Sheji B.	1. Aliukonis J. (G) 24. Burba M. 11. Cernych F. 23. Hernandez A. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 99. Kadric H. 8. Karashima Y. 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 4. Racic L. 10. Sirgedas G.
Coaches
Ramadani Z.	Sopic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Slivka V. ⚽, Benchaib A. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Jashari I. ⚽, Balaj L. (A),
44', Pellumbi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 1, Manaj A. ⚽, Balaj L. (A),
57', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Burba M. ↑,
58', Balaj L. ↓, Abazaj K. ↑,
66', Jashari I. ↓, Sheji B. ↑,
79', Konatar M. ↓, Iyobosa Edokpolor N. ↑,
79', Ourega F. ↓, Kadric H. ↑,
79', Tolordava A. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
80', Manaj A. ↓, Baeten W. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Slivka V. ⚽, Moutachy J. (A),
90+3', Maloku F. 🟨,
90+3', Kadric H. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 3, Benchaib A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Benchaib A. ↓, Racic L. ↑,
90+6', Krasniqi Be. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Drita has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kauno Žalgiris is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kauno Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Drita has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Drita won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Drita Gjilan
UEFA Champions League
07.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Drita Gjilan	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Drita Gjilan	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Drita Gjilan	4:1 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
31.05.26	Malisheva - Drita Gjilan	3:2 ✺
24.05.26	Drita Gjilan - Gjilani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
11.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Drita Gjilan	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
03.07.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
23.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.06.26	Transinvest - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
07.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Drita Gjilan	1:1

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