Match Info

Stars League - Round 11

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iraq	19:30	Al Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa


	Duhok		Karbala

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.50	5.25
	1.52	3.55	5.1
	1.57	3.59	5.04
	1.59	3.7	5.2	Watch
	1.55	3.55	4.95
	1.59	3.86	5.14
	1.57	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)	5.15 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duhok
57.7%

Draw
24.8%

Karbala
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.6%

24.2%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

17.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duhok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Karbala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duhok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karbala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Duhok - Karbala Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Duhok will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Duhok (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Oluwadamilare O. ⚽, Saad M. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Hammood Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Doski K. ⚽, Majji R. (A),
60', 2 - 2, Austin Amutu ⚽,
68', 3 - 2, Hammood Y. ⚽,
73', 4 - 2, Othman B. ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 2, Al Mawas M. ⚽, Majji R. (A),

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 10th and 20th in the Relegation).

Duhok has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Karbala is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Karbala may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Duhok is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Duhok has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Duhok against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Duhok	11	3	6	2	19:15	4	15
20	Karbala	11	1	3	7	9:22	-13	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duhok
Iraqi Premier League
17.10.26	Al-Jolan - Duhok	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Duhok - Al-Zawraa	3:0 ✺
18.09.26	Al-Minaa - Duhok	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Al-Karkh - Duhok	3:2 ✺
08.09.26	Duhok - Ghaz Al Shamal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLT
- Karbala
Iraqi Premier League
16.10.26	Karbala - Al-Gharraf	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Al-Kahraba - Karbala	0:0 ✺
18.09.26	Karbala - Arbil	0:3 ✺
14.09.26	Al-Naft - Karbala	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Karbala - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
27.04.25	Duhok - Karbala	2:1
07.01.25	Karbala - Duhok	1:2
09.05.24	Karbala - Duhok	1:1
23.02.24	Duhok - Karbala	2:1
04.09.13	Duhok - Karbala	2:1

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