Match Info

Stars League - Round 20

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Duhok Stadium (Duhok)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Duhok		Newroz

	1	X	2
	1.78	3	4.55
	1.79	3.08	4.49
	1.8	3.16	4.56
	1.75	3.1	4.33
	1.75	3.47	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.72)	3.16 ↓ (3.31)	4.53 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duhok
51.2%

Draw
28.7%

Newroz
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

28.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duhok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Newroz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Duhok - Newroz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 0, Mohammed Dawood ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, Neto Acara ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, Hussein M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Duhok is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Duhok won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Duhok won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Newroz	8	4	3	1	13:4	9	15
9	Duhok	8	1	6	1	11:11	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duhok
Iraqi Premier League
20.02.26	Al-Gharraf - Duhok	4:3 ✺
13.02.26	Duhok - Al Mosul	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Al-Kahraba - Duhok	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Al-Qasim - Duhok	0:3 ✺
28.01.26	Duhok - Al-Zawraa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTWT
- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
20.02.26	Newroz - Najaf	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Newroz	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Al Mosul - Newroz	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Newroz - Diyala	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Newroz - Al-Karma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
25.10.25	Newroz - Duhok	0:2
29.06.25	Duhok - Newroz	1:4
29.12.24	Newroz - Duhok	3:1
29.05.23	Newroz - Duhok	2:1

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