The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Duisburg 42.4%
Draw 27.4%
1860 München 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
27.2%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
27.9%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
1860 München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Duisburg - 1860 München Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 4 - 50%). 1860 München will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - 1860 München (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). 1860 München (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Braune M. (G) 20. Jessen N. 5. Fleckstein T. 40. Schlicke B. 27. Coskun C. (C) 8. Casar A. 18. Meuer S. 29. Bitter J. 26. Kruger F. 14. Noss C. 45. Lobinger L.
21. Dahne T. (G) 33. Fassmann L. 16. Reinthaler M. 3. Voet S. 2. Danhof T. 26. Maier P. 5. Jacobsen T. (C) 41. Lippmann C. 31. Volland K. 9. Steinkotter J. 22. Haugen S.
Substitutes
7. Bookjans J. 17. Gockan M. 31. Kother D. 19. Muller L. 24. Paris J. (G) 23. Symalla J. 22. Topken T. 33. Tugbenyo J. 10. Viet C.
20. Althaus S. 40. Bachmann P. (G) 34. Hobsch P. 8. Philipp D. 29. Rittmuller M. 37. Schifferl R. 17. Schroter M. 4. Verlaat J. 30. Wolfram M.
Coaches
Hirsch D.
Kauczinski M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Bitter J. ⚽, Schlicke B. (A),
68', Kruger F. ↓, Topken T. ↑,
68', Noss C. ↓, Viet C. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Jacobsen T. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Steinkotter J. ↓, Philipp D. ↑,
82', Meuer S. ↓, Tugbenyo J. ↑,
82', Lobinger L. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
83', Jessen N. ↓, Symalla J. ↑,
83', Danhof T. 🟨,
87', Volland K. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
88', Casar A. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Topken T. ⚽,
90+1', Danhof T. ↓, Schifferl R. ↑,
90+1', Maier P. ↓, Schroter M. ↑,
90+4', Jacobsen T. 🟨,
90+5', Dahne T. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 0.
Recent performances by Duisburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
1860 München is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Duisburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Duisburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:43. (average 1.1:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Duisburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.1:2.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Duisburg
8
7
0
1
22:9
13
21
Last Results with these Odds
1860 München - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 28.89%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.