Match Info

3. Liga - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ostseestadion (Rostock)

Referee: Ballweg C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport, SR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Hansa Rostock		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.75
	1.93	3.79	3.8
	1.87	3.84	3.63	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.85	3.5	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.89)	3.59 ↓ (3.8)	3.68 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock
49.2%

Draw
25.7%

Duisburg
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

24.4%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Hansa Rostock - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hansa Rostock will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Duisburg will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 19. Mejdr J. 15. Gurleyen A. 17. Carstens F. 33. Bergh V. 42. Dietze B. 5. Schuster M. (C) 6. Dirkner J. 14. Lebeau A. 11. Holten E. 35. Krauss M.	1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 42. Hahn A. (C) 27. Coskun C. 18. Meuer S. 10. Viet C. 19. Muller L. 14. Noss C. 37. Sussek P. 45. Lobinger L.
Substitutes
4. Fatkic K. 30. Hagemoser M. (G) 8. Harenbrock C. 21. Hummel D. 27. Kinsombi C. 29. Ruschke F. 16. Wallner L.	8. Casar A. 17. Gockan M. 20. Jessen N. 31. Kother D. 26. Kruger F. 24. Paris J. (G) 40. Schlicke B. 23. Symalla J. 33. Tugbenyo J.
Coaches
Brinkmann D.	Hirsch D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Holten E. ⚽, Bergh V. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Braune M. (Own goal),
22', 2 - 1, Meuer S. ⚽, Coskun C. (A),
29', Dirkner J. ↓, Fatkic K. ↑,
34', 3 - 1, Dietze B. ⚽,
39', Bitter J. 🟨,
43', 4 - 1, Holten E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Muller L. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
46', Coskun C. ↓, Symalla J. ↑,
49', Viet C. 🟨,
58', Sussek P. 🟨,
67', Meuer S. ↓, Gockan M. ↑,
67', Sussek P. ↓, Jessen N. ↑,
73', Lebeau A. ↓, Harenbrock C. ↑,
73', Krauss M. ↓, Kinsombi C. ↑,
73', Holten E. ↓, Hummel D. ↑,
74', 5 - 1, Harenbrock C. ⚽, Kinsombi C. (A),
83', Bergh V. ↓, Ruschke F. ↑,
88', Lobinger L. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hansa Rostock won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hansa Rostock could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hansa Rostock won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hansa Rostock won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22:9	13	21
4	Hansa Rostock	8	4	3	1	17:15	2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Hansa Rostock - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.12%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock
German 3 Bundesliga
07.03.26	Energie Cottbus - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	TSV Havelse - Hansa Rostock	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Hansa Rostock - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	1860 München - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hansa Rostock - Osnabrück	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWLT
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
08.03.26	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	4:2 ✺
04.03.26	Ingolstadt - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Duisburg - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Duisburg - Schweinfurt	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
03.10.25	Duisburg - Hansa Rostock	2:2
23.01.21	Duisburg - Hansa Rostock	1:2
19.09.20	Hansa Rostock - Duisburg	3:1
20.06.20	Duisburg - Hansa Rostock	0:0
09.11.19	Hansa Rostock - Duisburg	1:2
05.04.17	Hansa Rostock - Duisburg	1:0
22.10.16	Duisburg - Hansa Rostock	0:1

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