Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 12

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Duisburg		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.4
	2.7	3.5	2.37
	2.7	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.84	3.6	2.48
	2.84	3.6	2.48
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.7	3.54	2.35
	2.65	3.45	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.44)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	2.4 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Duisburg
34.5%

Draw
26.6%

Arminia Bielefeld
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Duisburg - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Arminia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 21. Feltscher R. 29. Bitter J. 26. Mai S. (C) 2. Mogultay B. 18. Jander C. 5. Castaneda S. 40. Esswein A. 7. Pusch K. 22. Kother T. 27. Konig P.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 4. Oppie L. 38. Worl M. 8. Schreck S. 10. Boujellab N. 34. Putaro L. 9. Klos F. (C) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J.
Substitutes
6. Bakalorz M. 24. Braune M. (G) 19. Ekene C. 15. Fleckstein T. 31. Girth B. 17. Knoll M. 16. Michelbrink J. 10. Pledl T. 23. Stierlin N.	17. Biankadi M. 20. Geerkens T. 27. Gohlke G. 25. Mizuta K. 6. Ozkan C. 7. Shipnoski N. 39. Wintzheimer M. 11. Yildirim A. 41. Zaloha A. (G)
Coaches
Schommers B.	Kniat M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 2.

Duisburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arminia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duisburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
07.10.23	Duisburg - Unterhaching	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Duisburg - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
27.09.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Duisburg - Verl	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLLL
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
14.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Waldhof Mannheim	3:1 ✺
07.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2 ✺
03.10.23	Verl - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
29.09.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Saarbrücken	2:6 ✺
22.09.23	Unterhaching - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.09.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Duisburg	3:2
German 2 Bundesliga
29.04.19	Duisburg - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2
23.11.18	Arminia Bielefeld - Duisburg	0:1
German DFB Pokal
31.10.18	Arminia Bielefeld - Duisburg	0:3
German 2 Bundesliga
10.02.18	Duisburg - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2
09.09.17	Arminia Bielefeld - Duisburg	0:4
08.02.16	Arminia Bielefeld - Duisburg	2:1

Upcoming Matches