Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 10

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Speckner M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Duisburg		Unterhaching

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.75
	2.35	3.5	2.7
	2.35	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.43	3.63	2.89
	2.25	3.4	2.7
	2.32	3.54	2.74	Watch
	2.31	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	2.75 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
39.8%

Draw
26.6%

Unterhaching
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

26.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

27.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	58.3%	16.7%

Duisburg - Unterhaching Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Unterhaching will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 21. Feltscher R. 29. Bitter J. 17. Knoll M. 2. Mogultay B. 16. Michelbrink J. 18. Jander C. 5. Castaneda S. 40. Esswein A. 19. Ekene C. 26. Mai S.	1. Vollath R. (G) 23. Schwabl M. 37. Schifferl R. 5. Welzmuller J. 39. Waidner D. 8. Stiefler M. 6. Westermeier B. 16. Keller A. 30. Skarlatidis S. 11. Fetsch M. 34. Hobsch P.
Substitutes
6. Bakalorz M. 9. Bakir A. 24. Braune M. (G) 15. Fleckstein T. 31. Girth B. 14. Kopke P. 22. Kother T. 7. Pusch K. 4. Senger M.	45. Heilmair H. (G) 44. Hirtlreiter A. 7. Krattenmacher M. 3. Lamby M. 15. Obermeier T. 31. Schmid F. 19. Welzmuller M. 21. Zimmermann T.
Coaches
Ziegner T.	Unterberger M.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 4.

Duisburg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Unterhaching is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unterhaching could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
30.09.23	Duisburg - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
27.09.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Duisburg - Verl	2:3 ✺
03.09.23	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
04.10.23	Unterhaching - Rot-Weiß Essen	4:0 ✺
01.10.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Unterhaching	2:2 ✺
22.09.23	Unterhaching - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Unterhaching - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Verl - Unterhaching	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.02.21	Duisburg - Unterhaching	2:1
21.10.20	Unterhaching - Duisburg	0:1
04.07.20	Duisburg - Unterhaching	4:0
15.12.19	Unterhaching - Duisburg	2:2
14.03.15	Duisburg - Unterhaching	1:0
19.09.14	Unterhaching - Duisburg	1:1
03.05.14	Unterhaching - Duisburg	4:1

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