Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 13

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 10
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund II		Verl

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.15
	2.9	3.7	2.2
	2.9	3.75	2.2	Watch
	3.03	3.81	2.24
	2.97	3.7	2.18	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.1
	2.97	3.65	2.12	Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.83)	3.7 ↑ (3.67)	2.17 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
31.9%

Draw
25.2%

Verl
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25.4%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

24.7%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Borussia Dortmund II - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia Dortmund II: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Lotka M. (G) 17. Gobel P. 15. Huning B. 34. Luhrs Y. 2. Mogultay B. 21. Paschke F. 14. Eberwein M. (C) 5. Foti A. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 23. Paulina J. 20. Hettwer J.	1. Schulze P. (G) 8. Kammerbauer P. 2. Gruber F. (C) 4. Mikic D. 24. Stocker M. 23. Benger M. 7. Stark J. 5. Baack T. 30. Gayret T. 9. Arweiler J. 13. Lokotsch L.
Substitutes
11. Butler J. 45. Diallo O. 26. Drakas B. 16. Garcia Posadas L. 29. Jessen N. 43. Krevsun D. 27. Lelle D. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G)	31. Gerhardt K. 19. Kijewski N. 18. Kyeremateng G. 27. Onuoha C. 34. Otto F. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 16. Scholze M. 11. Steczyk D. 10. Taz B.
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Ende A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', Gruber F. 🟨,
10', Benger M. 🟨,
21', Paschke F. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Paulina J. ⚽, Elongo-Yombo R. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Hettwer J. ⚽, Paschke F. (A),
45', 3 - 0, Paulina J. ⚽,
45+2', Paulina J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arweiler J. ↓, Steczyk D. ↑,
46', Stark J. ↓, Taz B. ↑,
60', Mikic D. ↓, Kijewski N. ↑,
61', Stocker M. ↓, Scholze M. ↑,
64', Scholze M. 🟨,
66', Paulina J. ↓, Krevsun D. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Steczyk D. ⚽,
75', Gayret T. ↓, Onuoha C. ↑,
76', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Drakas B. ↑,
87', Hettwer J. ↓, Diallo O. ↑,
87', Foti A. ↓, Lelle D. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Verl will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Aning P. (Injury) Besong P. (Knee Injury) Watjen K. (Injury)

There will not play in Verl: Demming L. (Injury) Otto Y. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Borussia Dortmund II: Irorere F. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Verl: Taz B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26:17 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Ingolstadt - Borussia Dortmund II	5:3 ✺
22.10.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Waldhof Mannheim	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Viktoria Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	3:5 ✺
04.10.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWWL
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Verl - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Ingolstadt - Verl	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Verl - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:5 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Verl - Unterhaching	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
17.02.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Verl	5:2
23.09.23	Verl - Borussia Dortmund II	2:3
24.04.23	Verl - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1
29.10.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Verl	1:0
06.05.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Verl	1:2
04.12.21	Verl - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3
German Regionalliga West
22.11.19	Verl - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0

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