The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Duisburg 34.8%
Draw 25.3%
Energie Cottbus 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
24.1%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
23.1%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Duisburg - Energie Cottbus Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Cottbus will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Braune M. (G) 20. Jessen N. 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 40. Schlicke B. 17. Gockan M. 26. Kruger F. 6. Bulic R. 10. Viet C. 31. Kother D. 22. Topken T.
33. Funk M. (G) 44. Straudi S. 23. Awortwie-Grant N. 22. Cvjetinovic M. 20. Borgmann A. 5. Pelivan D. 8. Michelbrink L. 10. Cigerci T. 19. Boziaris J. 37. Biankadi M. 18. Engelhardt E.
Substitutes
7. Bookjans J. 8. Casar A. 27. Coskun C. 42. Hahn A. 18. Meuer S. 14. Noss C. 24. Paris J. (G) 37. Sussek P. 23. Symalla J.
31. Butler J. 4. Campulka T. 14. Cigerci T. 11. Hannemann M. 24. Lucoqui A. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 3. Rorig H. 1. Sebald A. (G) 25. Tattermusch T.
Coaches
Hirsch D.
Wollitz C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Topken T. ⚽, Kother D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Biankadi M. ↓, Hannemann M. ↑,
46', Bitter J. ↓, Hahn A. ↑,
50', Borgmann A. 🟨,
52', Cigerci T. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Kother D. ⚽, Kruger F. (A),
60', Boziaris J. ↓, Moustfa C. Y. ↑,
61', Pelivan D. ↓, Cigerci T. ↑,
71', Viet C. ↓, Noss C. ↑,
71', Kruger F. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
72', Cigerci T. 🟨,
74', Straudi S. ↓, Rorig H. ↑,
78', Kother D. ↓, Sussek P. ↑,
85', Michelbrink L. ↓, Lucoqui A. ↑,
86', Jessen N. ↓, Coskun C. ↑,
88', Casar A. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Engelhardt E. ⚽, Cigerci T. (A),
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).
Recent performances by Duisburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cottbus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Duisburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Duisburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Duisburg
8
7
0
1
22:9
13
21
Last Results with these Odds
Duisburg - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.93%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Energie Cottbus - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.93%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.