Match Info

3. Liga - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	OneFootball TV


	Duisburg		Hoffenheim II

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.80	3.90	Watch
	1.70	4.10	4.20
	1.61	4.20	4.40	Watch
	1.77	4.20	4.28
	1.7	4.36	3.98	Watch
	1.76	4.00	4.00
	1.74	4.00	4.10	Watch
	1.70	4.10	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.53)	4.1 ↓ (4.37)	4.12 ↓ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
54.7%

Draw
22.7%

Hoffenheim II
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

21.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

20.6%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duisburg's form might have worsened.

Hoffenheim II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duisburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Duisburg - Hoffenheim II Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braune M. (G) 4. Ens M. 5. Fleckstein T. 40. Schlicke B. 29. Bitter J. 6. Bulic R. (C) 10. Viet C. 27. Coskun C. 14. Noss C. 9. Lobinger L. 11. Kother D.	1. Petersson L. (G) 2. Abraha N. 3. Dulic S. 6. Lassig V. (C) 13. Spranger T. 16. Engelns L. 8. Dagdeviren D. 17. Makanda B. 20. Poller T. 10. Zor Y. 11. Fields J.
Substitutes
17. Besuschkow M. 8. Casar A. 3. Christensen F. 20. Jessen N. 26. Kruger F. 39. Remmert P. 19. Safi R. 33. Stahl T. (G) 37. Sussek P.	26. Cizek K. 36. Dedic J. 23. Honajzer A. 15. Moore M. 44. Ndong-Penda M. 40. Pistrol S. 47. Theuer M. 27. Trautner T. (G) 18. Wagenbach L.
Coaches
Hirsch D.	Kleineheismann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Fleckstein T. (Own goal),
24', Dagdeviren D. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Makanda B. ⚽, Poller T. (A),
40', Dagdeviren D. ↓, Moore M. ↑,
43', Bitter J. 🟨,
44', Dulic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Coskun C. ↓, Christensen F. ↑,
46', Ens M. ↓, Remmert P. ↑,
46', Noss C. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
60', Poller T. 🟨,
63', Viet C. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
66', Fields J. 🟨,
67', Fields J. ↓, Dedic J. ↑,
67', Zor Y. ↓, Wagenbach L. ↑,
69', Wagenbach L. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Remmert P. ⚽,
71', Lobinger L. 🟨,
72', 2 - 2, Remmert P. ⚽, Lobinger L. (A),
72', Kother D. ↓, Sussek P. ↑,
75', Safi R. 🟨,
77', 3 - 2, Remmert P. ⚽, Bulic R. (A),
83', Spranger T. ↓, Theuer M. ↑,
83', Poller T. ↓, Honajzer A. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - 2. Bundesliga and 5th).

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

In this matchup, Duisburg is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Duisburg in today's match, at odds of 1.71.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Duisburg has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 2:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Duisburg against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Duisburg: 23.75% Hoffenheim II: 2.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22:9	13	21
7	Hoffenheim II	8	4	1	3	16:11	5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Duisburg - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.36%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
20.09.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg	1:4 ✺
15.09.26	Duisburg - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Duisburg	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Duisburg - Würzburger Kickers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW
- Hoffenheim II
German 3 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Hoffenheim II - Meppen	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Ingolstadt - Hoffenheim II	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Hoffenheim II - Fortuna Köln	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Hoffenheim II	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Hoffenheim II - Jahn Regensburg	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
18.04.26	Duisburg - Hoffenheim II	3:1
21.11.25	Hoffenheim II - Duisburg	4:1

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