Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 22

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	2.65	3.3	2.32
	2.75	3.3	2.3
	2.75	3.33	2.46
	2.7	3.25	2.35
	2.67	3.36	2.38
	2.7	3.3	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.15)	3.29 ↓ (3.32)	2.35 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
33.7%

Draw
27.6%

Chelmsford City
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.2%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dulwich Hamlet's performance.

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelmsford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dulwich Hamlet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelmsford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	38.5%	53.8%

Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dulwich will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Chelmsford will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelmsford: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dulwich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dulwich have a series of guest games.

Recently Chelmsford have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Dulwich won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English National League South
03.12.22	Oxford City - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Taunton Town - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
English National League South
12.11.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Dulwich Hamlet	5:1 ✺
05.11.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:2 ✺
29.10.22	St Albans City - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLLWW
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
03.12.22	Chelmsford City - Dartford	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Worthing - Chelmsford City	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Chelmsford City - Redditch United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.11.22	Chelmsford City - Barnet	0:1 ✺
English National League South
12.11.22	Chelmsford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.02.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City	1:3
25.09.21	Chelmsford City - Dulwich Hamlet	0:2
31.10.20	Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City	0:0
01.02.20	Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City	5:3
26.10.19	Chelmsford City - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1
26.01.19	Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City	1:3
13.08.18	Chelmsford City - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2

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