Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.75	3.7	3.85
	1.79	3.98	3.83
	1.88	3.4	3.6
	1.75	3.72	3.94
	1.76	3.75	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.17)	3.66 ↑ (3.3)	3.9 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
51.8%

Draw
24.9%

Hungerford Town
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

26.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dulwich Hamlet's performance.

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hungerford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dulwich Hamlet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hungerford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dulwich Hamlet - Hungerford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 3.

Recent matches Dulwich is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hungerford is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dulwich will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Dulwich won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English National League South
08.10.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Dartford	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Folkestone Invicta	0:1 ✺
English National League South
27.09.22	Cheshunt - Dulwich Hamlet	0:3 ✺
24.09.22	Chippenham Town - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Margate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLW
- Hungerford Town
English National League South
08.10.22	Bath City - Hungerford Town	2:3 ✺
01.10.22	Dartford - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
27.09.22	Hungerford Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Hungerford Town - Ebbsfleet United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Hungerford Town - Gloucester City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
29.01.22	Hungerford Town - Dulwich Hamlet	3:1
12.09.21	Dulwich Hamlet - Hungerford Town	3:1
05.12.20	Hungerford Town - Dulwich Hamlet	0:3
21.12.19	Hungerford Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:4
14.09.19	Dulwich Hamlet - Hungerford Town	2:3
13.04.19	Dulwich Hamlet - Hungerford Town	3:1
13.10.18	Hungerford Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2

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