Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.68	3.55	4.2
	1.76	3.5	4.1
	1.83	3.45	4.38
	1.7	3.5	4.33
	1.83	3.48	3.85
	1.77	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	4.14 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
51.9%

Draw
26.1%

Hungerford Town
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.9%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

26.2%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Bath City - Hungerford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bath won 3.

Bath is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hungerford has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bath could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bath is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bath won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
27.09.22	Taunton Town - Bath City	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Oxford City - Bath City	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
20.09.22	Hartley Wintney - Bath City	0:1 ET ✺
17.09.22	Bath City - Hartley Wintney	2:2 ✺
English National League South
13.09.22	Bath City - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTWTW
- Hungerford Town
English National League South
01.10.22	Dartford - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
27.09.22	Hungerford Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Hungerford Town - Ebbsfleet United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Hungerford Town - Gloucester City	1:3 ✺
English National League South
14.09.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Hungerford Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.04.22	Hungerford Town - Bath City	0:3
11.12.21	Bath City - Hungerford Town	0:1
28.12.20	Bath City - Hungerford Town	0:2
14.03.20	Hungerford Town - Bath City	0:1
13.08.19	Bath City - Hungerford Town	2:1
19.04.19	Hungerford Town - Bath City	0:0
08.09.18	Bath City - Hungerford Town	4:1

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