Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 8

Date: 20 December 2022, Tuesday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.5	3.3	2.43
	2.55	3.25	2.5
	2.46	2.98	2.62
	2.5	3.2	2.55
	2.48	3.4	2.53
	2.55	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (1.93)	3.23 ↓ (3.45)	2.52 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
36.1%

Draw
28%

Weymouth
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

25.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dulwich Hamlet's form might have worsened.

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weymouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dulwich Hamlet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Weymouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Dulwich Hamlet - Weymouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dulwich will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Weymouth will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Weymouth: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Dulwich is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weymouth is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Weymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Weymouth have a series of guest games.

Dulwich will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Dulwich won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English National League South
06.12.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Oxford City - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Taunton Town - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
English National League South
12.11.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Dulwich Hamlet	5:1 ✺
05.11.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTLLW
- Weymouth
English National League South
13.12.22	Worthing - Weymouth	1:3 ✺
10.12.22	Tonbridge Angels - Weymouth	0:5 ✺
03.12.22	Weymouth - Cheshunt	0:0 ✺
26.11.22	Welling United - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Worthing - Weymouth	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.01.20	Weymouth - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1
12.10.19	Dulwich Hamlet - Weymouth	2:2

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