Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 21

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Weymouth		Cheshunt

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	3.9
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.8	3.75	3.6
	1.86	3.64	3.86
	1.8	3.5	3.8
	1.75	3.68	4
	1.95	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.7)	3.56 ↑ (3.1)	3.77 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
50.4%

Draw
25.5%

Cheshunt
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Weymouth's performance.

Cheshunt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheshunt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Weymouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheshunt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Weymouth - Cheshunt Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Weymouth will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cheshunt will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Weymouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cheshunt is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Weymouth have a series of guest games.

Weymouth will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
26.11.22	Welling United - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Worthing - Weymouth	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
15.11.22	AFC Wimbledon - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
English National League South
12.11.22	Weymouth - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
08.11.22	St Albans City - Weymouth	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLWL
- Cheshunt FC
English National League South
26.11.22	Cheshunt - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Peterborough Sports - Cheshunt	3:2 ✺
English National League South
12.11.22	Taunton Town - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
08.11.22	Cheshunt - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Eastbourne Borough - Cheshunt	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL

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