Match Info

Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Oriel Park (Dundalk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Dundalk		Bray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5
	1.49	4.35	5.3
	1.52	4.55	5.48
	1.02	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.49	4.35	5.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)	3.63 ↓ (4.39)	4.46 ↓ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundalk
58.8%

Draw
22.7%

Bray Wanderers
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

21.1%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

20%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Bray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundalk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Dundalk - Bray Wanderers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundalk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dundalk will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Cherrie P. (G) 4. Animasahun M. 15. Leonard V. 2. O'Keeffe C. 31. Wilson J. 16. Kenny E. 27. McDaid D. 6. Dervin A. (C) 8. Groome H. 26. Tracey S. 11. Arubi G.	1. Corcoran J. (G) 20. Kizenga A. 30. Fagbemi B. 4. Cantwell K. (C) 6. Warren H. 8. Bartley R. 17. Doyle C. 10. Almirall G. 11. Ferizaj J. 19. O'Neill B. 21. Knight R.
Substitutes
9. Ebbe D. 14. Garbett N. 1. Minogue E. (G) 24. Molloy T. 12. Mulligan L. 23. Paraschiv A. 19. Spaight S. 29. Vaughan R. 17. Ward K.	27. Brennan S. 14. Curtis C. 12. Duggan J. 32. Ferizaj R. 7. Knight C. 25. McGuinnes S. (G) 2. Murphy M. 16. Murphy P. 23. Ryan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Doyle C. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Arubi G. ⚽,
12', Knight R. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Arubi G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Doyle C. ↓, Brennan S. ↑,
46', Almirall G. ↓, Curtis C. ↑,
54', 3 - 0, Kenny E. ⚽,
58', 🟨,
68', Fagbemi B. ↓, Murphy M. ↑,
68', Ferizaj J. ↓, Knight C. ↑,
73', Warren H. 🟨,
75', Groome H. ↓, Ebbe D. ↑,
75', Tracey S. ↓, Paraschiv A. ↑,
76', Kenny E. ↓, Garbett N. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Warren H. ⚽,
81', McDaid D. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
81', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Mulligan L. ↑,
84', Knight R. ↓, Ferizaj R. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 3.

Dundalk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bray Wanderers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Dundalk is a strong favorite.

We predict that Dundalk will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:16. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundalk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:7. (average 3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundalk FC
Irish Division 1
05.09.25	Wexford - Dundalk	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dundalk - Kerry	3:3 ✺
22.08.25	Treaty United - Dundalk	0:7 ✺
08.08.25	Dundalk - Athlone Town	6:1 ✺
04.08.25	Dundalk - Longford Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWWW
- Bray Wanderers
Irish Division 1
05.09.25	Bray Wanderers - Athlone Town	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	University College Dublin - Bray Wanderers	3:2 ✺
22.08.25	Wexford - Bray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
15.08.25	Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers	3:1 ✺
Irish Division 1
08.08.25	Bray Wanderers - Cobh Ramblers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
11.07.25	Bray Wanderers - Dundalk	2:0
09.05.25	Dundalk - Bray Wanderers	2:2
14.03.25	Bray Wanderers - Dundalk	1:3
Irish FAI Cup
18.08.23	Bray Wanderers - Dundalk	0:1
Irish Premier Division
17.08.18	Bray Wanderers - Dundalk	1:3
25.05.18	Dundalk - Bray Wanderers	5:0
13.04.18	Bray Wanderers - Dundalk	0:2

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